Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 177.121574 205.064171 237.094363 276.772586 324.943860 381.963014 455.205783
2025-08-17 139.634462 174.780537 219.221691 280.474791 364.202853 476.904170 644.067133
2025-08-24 117.070900 154.383184 204.818110 279.750680 391.428722 557.155220 832.783222
2025-08-31 101.986380 140.027177 194.204620 279.697947 416.542243 637.213059 1043.408830
2025-09-07 91.983475 130.713756 188.413456 284.423856 448.308001 733.731144 1312.872272
2025-09-14 80.548142 117.458735 174.354913 272.976425 450.042470 778.139660 1500.015228
2025-09-21 73.572599 110.007742 168.073397 272.882663 470.900387 862.031366 1799.887529
2025-09-28 68.172679 104.310053 163.706868 275.080179 496.012611 960.527486 2175.202605
2025-10-05 66.094469 103.713805 167.687686 292.864713 555.360399 1148.943652 2872.172402
2025-10-12 63.869845 102.554635 170.430050 308.622715 614.106992 1355.630613 3748.106192
2025-10-19 59.539510 97.244866 164.962824 307.033376 634.061426 1473.237699 4422.866158
2025-10-26 56.886197 94.629891 164.148249 314.860661 677.719440 1669.316277 5522.005523
2025-11-02 53.091446 89.924906 159.482198 315.317585 708.053500 1853.872203 6813.757729
2025-11-09 50.011104 86.287549 156.579146 319.552712 750.664282 2100.985729 8704.743654
2025-11-16 46.791427 82.030630 151.855432 318.695441 779.523764 2319.564989 10778.433542
2025-11-23 44.002761 78.318323 147.777891 318.633080 810.924994 2566.252831 13447.321228
2025-11-30 41.963150 75.879179 146.085108 324.182607 861.264728 2918.222110 17579.131054
2025-12-07 38.667137 70.590901 137.577411 310.746139 847.929954 3000.444407 19818.768288
2025-12-14 36.667731 67.794446 134.300790 310.636172 879.012538 3303.312122 24914.835726
2025-12-21 35.030538 65.604450 132.143669 313.213873 920.603699 3689.318179 32282.118793
2025-12-28 34.672039 66.087123 136.215995 334.103173 1036.529856 4564.114345 50340.274746
2026-01-04 34.133195 66.122351 139.230535 352.652452 1152.234238 5570.076053 78712.107016
2026-01-11 32.500726 63.595888 135.709734 350.779915 1184.819252 6091.173315 102496.286350